Overall this Winter will be slightly milder with less snowfall for much of the Mid-Atlantic States. The Northeast will see more colder shots and snowfall, so I’m forecasting Near to slightly below normal temps and near to slightly above normal snowfall, especially for Interior New England.

The overall pattern will be quite progressive with plenty of ups and downs with temperatures. Many Clippers and App runners, should keep the bulk of the snow and colder temps over the Upper Midwest, The Great Lakes, and New England. The Mid-Atlantic will miss out in most cases, especially the lower M/A States. The Northern M/A will see plenty of Mixed events, especially towards the coast, with most of the bigger snow events occurring in the mountains, and west of the I-95 Corridor.

One or Two Moderate snow events will come from the Southern Branch, as Miller A type events, but will struggle to be all snow, due too a milder temperature profile and bad timing with the colder air associated with the colder Northern branch of the Jet Stream. So much of The M/A States will see more Rain and Mixed events keeping any heavier snow events at bay, and confined to areas further north and west.

Temperature and Snowfall forecast for some selected Areas of the M/A States: DEC / JAN / FEB

VA:
LYH (Lynchburg, VA)
Temps: +1.0 F to +3.0 F (Slightly Above Average)
Snowfall: 8″-14″ (Below Normal)

ROA (Roanoke, VA)
Temps: +1.0 F to +3.0 F (Slightly Above Average)
Snowfall: 12″-18″ (Below Normal)

RIC (Richmond, VA)
Temps: +1.0 F to +3.0 F (Slightly Above Average)
Snowfall: 6″-10″ (Below Normal)

Northern M/A States:

DCA (Washington DC)
Temps: +1.0 F to +3.0 F (Slightly Above Average)
Snowfall: 10″-16″ (Below Normal)

BWI (Baltimore, MD)
Temps: +1.0 F to +3.0 F (Slightly Above Average)
Snowfall: 14″-20″ (Near to Slightly Below Normal)

PHL (Philadelphia, PA)
Temps: +1.0 F to +3.0 F (Slightly Above Average)
Snowfall: 16″-22″ (Near to Slightly Below Normal)

NYC (New York, NY)
Temps: -1.0 F to +1.0 F (Near Average)
Snowfall: 20″-28″ (Near to Slightly Below Normal)

Take Care,
Ruggie